Liberty
W-L: ( 8-11) PR = 81.6779Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 7-17 215 H Davidson Atlantic 10 (15- 5, 84.6) 6-13 218 H Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 90.6) 8-17 228 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 6-16 304 A Longwood Big South ( 3-12, 71.8) 16- 4 311 H James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 4-16 314 A High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 11-10 319 A Lindenwood Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 77.1) 19- 8 321 A Austin Peay Atlantic Su ( 4-13, 71.2) 24- 7 326 H Stetson Atlantic Su ( 3-13, 75.5) 11-12 328 H Jacksonville Atlantic Su (13- 6, 89.0) 7-19 402 A South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 8- 9 406 H Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 7-21 411 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Su ( 8-10, 74.6) 17- 4 416 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Su (10- 8, 81.1) 10- 4 418 A Queens Atlantic Su ( 3-12, 76.7) 19- 9 422 H Delaware Atlantic Su (13- 5, 87.5) 5-17 428 N Kennesaw State Atlantic Su ( 8-10, 74.6) 16- 9 430 A Jacksonville Atlantic Su (13- 6, 89.0) 3-17
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Johns Hopkins 7-17 -10 -11 1.18
215 H Davidson 6-13 -7 -2 -- -5.47
218 H Virginia 8-17 -9 -8 -1.49
228 H Richmond 6-16 -10 -7 - -3.07
304 A Longwood 16- 4 12 8 + 3.53
311 H James Madison 4-16 -12 -8 -- -4.18
314 A High Point 11-10 1 -2 + 2.61
319 A Lindenwood 19- 8 11 3 +++ 7.82
321 A Austin Peay 24- 7 17 9 ++ 4.92
326 H Stetson 11-12 -1 8 --- -8.50
328 H Jacksonville 7-19 -12 -6 --- -6.01
402 A South Florida 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 7.39
406 H Notre Dame 7-21 -14 -10 - -3.67
411 H Kennesaw State 17- 4 13 8 ++ 4.57
416 A Coastal Carolina 10- 4 6 -1 +++ 6.83
418 A Queens 19- 9 10 4 +++ 6.42
422 H Delaware 5-17 -12 -4 --- -7.53
428 N Kennesaw State 16- 9 7 7 -0.07
430 A Jacksonville 3-17 -14 -9 -- -5.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 H Stetson 11-12 -1 8 --- -8.50 328 H Jacksonville 7-19 -12 -6 --- -6.01 422 H Delaware 5-17 -12 -4 --- -7.53 215 H Davidson 6-13 -7 -2 -- -5.47 311 H James Madison 4-16 -12 -8 -- -4.18 430 A Jacksonville 3-17 -14 -9 -- -5.27 228 H Richmond 6-16 -10 -7 - -3.07 406 H Notre Dame 7-21 -14 -10 - -3.67 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Lindenwood 19- 8 11 3 +++ 7.82 402 A South Florida 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 7.39 416 A Coastal Carolina 10- 4 6 -1 +++ 6.83 418 A Queens 19- 9 10 4 +++ 6.42 321 A Austin Peay 24- 7 17 9 ++ 4.92 411 H Kennesaw State 17- 4 13 8 ++ 4.57 304 A Longwood 16- 4 12 8 + 3.53 314 A High Point 11-10 1 -2 + 2.61 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 7-17 -5.68 34.49 -1.37 0.91 -3.21
3 H Davidson (15- 5, 84.6) 6-13 -15.32 24.85 -1.37 0.91 -7.61
3 H Virginia ( 8- 9, 90.6) 8-17 -9.34 30.82 -1.37 0.91 -4.88
3 H Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 6-16 -9.93 30.24 -1.37 0.91 -5.15
3 A Longwood ( 3-12, 71.8) 16- 4 -28.06 12.11 1.37 0.91 24.57
3 H James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 4-16 -9.04 31.13 -1.37 0.91 -4.74
3 A High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 11-10 -17.98 22.19 1.37 0.91 42.95
3 A Lindenwood ( 8-11, 77.1) 19- 8 -22.77 17.40 1.37 0.91 34.21
3 A Austin Peay ( 4-13, 71.2) 24- 7 -28.67 11.49 1.37 0.91 23.45
3 H Stetson ( 3-13, 75.5) 11-12 -24.36 15.81 -1.37 0.91 -11.73
3 H Jacksonville (13- 6, 89.0) 7-19 -10.86 29.30 -1.37 0.91 -5.58
3 A South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 8- 9 -11.20 28.97 1.37 0.91 -4.48
3 H Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 7-21 -6.52 33.65 -1.37 0.91 -3.60
3 H Kennesaw State ( 8-10, 74.6) 17- 4 -25.29 14.88 -1.37 0.91 24.64
3 A Coastal Caroli (10- 8, 81.1) 10- 4 -18.76 21.41 1.37 0.91 41.54
3 A Queens ( 3-12, 76.7) 19- 9 -23.17 17.00 1.37 0.91 33.49
3 H Delaware (13- 5, 87.5) 5-17 -12.38 27.78 -1.37 0.91 -6.27
3 N Kennesaw State ( 8-10, 74.6) 16- 9 -25.29 14.88 -0.00 0.91 27.13
3 A Jacksonville (13- 6, 89.0) 3-17 -10.86 29.30 1.37 0.91 -4.33
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190.41
|
winning pts = 251.9867 losing points = -61.5732
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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